Crypto experts shared their predictions for December.
Experts interviewed by RBC-Crypto shared their forecasts for December, explaining what will influence cryptocurrency prices in the final month of the year and how Bitcoin might perform.
Analysts agree that Bitcoin is likely to fall further, as the macroeconomic environment is unfavorable for risky assets. Those hoping for a market reversal should pay close attention to news about the behavior of major market participants and the actions of financial regulators.
November's anti-records and a possible reason for the correction
Managing Partner of VG GROUP Vagiz Nurullov
November was a record-breaking month for the cryptocurrency market: liquidations of billions of dollars in trader positions, declining interest from corporate investors, and a general deterioration in liquidity led to a drop in the Bitcoin price to $80,000. The Fear and Greed Index hit its lowest level since 2022, reflecting the market's extremely low risk appetite.
A possible reason for the recent correction is increasingly gaining attention: the risk of Michael Saylor's Strategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, being delisted from stock indices. This threat has become a significant factor in market pressure after JPMorgan estimated that investors could withdraw up to $9 billion from the company in such a situation.
Strategy is a key player in the crypto market, and its potential problems could cause Bitcoin's price to plummet by another 30%. The mood in December and the crypto market's dynamics leading up to the New Year will depend, among other things, on whether Saylor can reach an agreement with regulators and index firms.
If the market continues to decline, Bitcoin could test the $60,000–$65,000 range. At these levels, major institutional players, including potential competitors of Strategy, could become interested in buying up large volumes of Bitcoin.
“Small consolation”
Cryptocurrency market analyst Viktor Pershikov
The recovery of the cryptocurrency market, and Bitcoin in particular, after the decline of the last month and a half, will take some time, and the main questions at the moment are how the market will close this year (in the plus or minus), and whether we will see Bitcoin recover above $100,000 in December.
The decline in crypto market capitalization is occurring as part of a correction to the relatively stable bullish trend that began in late 2022. A more than 35% decline over the past month and a half, while significant, is not a record-breaking one, even for this cycle.
The nature of this rapid downward movement is interesting: compared to the events of the first quarter of the year, when the market fell amid the trade war between the US and its partners, the crypto market's decline in the fourth quarter does not contain any fundamental negatives. The collapse occurred primarily due to the withdrawal of already insufficient liquidity from the market, which crypto assets were unable to obtain sufficiently in 2025.
Depending on the pace and format of price recovery over the next one to two months, it will be possible to draw conclusions about the outlook for next year. However, for now, the cryptocurrency market's primary goal is to stabilize at current levels and close the year above the levels reached in early January.
“This will be small consolation for the bulls, but even if it is minor, a bullish close in 2025 for market cap and Bitcoin will be technically and fundamentally justified: there is no significant downside or risk to crypto assets at the moment.”
“Bitcoin performed poorly”
Cryptocurrency market analyst Anatoly Radchenko
One of the key events of December was the US Federal Reserve's (FRS) decision on its key interest rate. This decision will determine the entire US monetary policy in the first quarter of 2026, which will also impact the crypto market.
Due to the prolonged fall shutdown of the US government, the Federal Reserve lacks sufficient data to lower or raise rates. The situation is unclear, but overall, the Fed's decision will determine the dynamics of risky assets until the end of December.
But even if the rate is cut, we won't see any significant growth. Bitcoin has performed quite poorly this year, like every other cryptocurrency. And many funds will prefer not to increase their positions until the New Year.
“Neither bulls nor bears”
Cryptorg Chief Analyst Andrey Podolyan
Bitcoin will continue its bearish trend in the medium term. Significant growth in December will be difficult to achieve. Strong attempts at growth will be curtailed, due to several key factors.
We're unlikely to see a US rate cut in December. The preconditions for this have dampened investors' risk appetite, with some deciding to reduce their cryptocurrency positions, leading to several waves of sell-offs. Since the cryptocurrency market is more volatile and emotional than the stock market, the sell-off quickly turned into a cascading collapse.
Until traders receive a clear signal of impending monetary easing and a return of capital to the crypto market, cryptocurrencies will remain in the grip of bears. At best, we'll see trading in a narrow range, with neither bulls nor bears benefiting.
It's highly likely that the year will end on a less-than-positive note. The current hope is for the spring of 2026, when the Fed may return to rate cuts, trade tensions between the US and China will ease, and liquidity will flow into cryptocurrencies again.
Источник: cryptocurrency.tech
