Analysts expect a strong October for BTC: historical returns of 21.6%

Historical data shows that October is traditionally the strongest month for Bitcoin. According to research by analyst Marcus Thielen, the average return for BTC during this period over the past 10 years was 21.6%. Of all the years observed, only one was negative: in 2018, Bitcoin lost 4.6%.

Particularly strong results were recorded in 2017 (49.1%), 2020 (27.8%), and 2021 (40%). Even after bearish periods, the market repeatedly demonstrated powerful rebounds in October, which has earned this month a long-standing reputation as a “seasonal bullish window.”

In 2022, analysts, despite market skepticism, bet on growth, and the forecast was confirmed: Bitcoin showed positive dynamics in October. A similar situation repeated itself in late September 2023 and early October 2024, when the forecasts again came true. According to data from the current year, the BTC price enters the new month after reaching a local low of $108,000. Many predict that the seasonal growth pattern will be confirmed.

Experts note that the “October effect” is largely due to institutional investors accumulating positions after the summer correction, as well as preparations for increased trading activity at the end of the year. If the trend continues, October 2025 could once again be one of the strongest months for Bitcoin, supporting investor expectations amid continued interest in spot ETFs and institutional liquidity.

It's worth noting that the flagship digital currency's price began to rise on the very first day of the new month. Over the past 24 hours, the price of Bitcoin has increased by 3.17%, reaching $116,470. Since the beginning of the year, the cryptocurrency's price has risen by 24.68%. Many experts predict that BTC prices will reach $150,000 and beyond by the end of the year.

Source: cryptonews.net