Bitcoin Forecast: Why $200,000 Remains Realistic for BTC

In an interview with podcaster Maurizio Pedrazzoli Grazioli, the market analysts and inventors of the Bitcoin Quantile Model talk about the current Bitcoin market – and appear bullish.
Bitcoin has lost around 12 percent since its last high. Panic is dominant on Platform X: “Everyone is declaring a bear market—that's actually a positive thing,” says Grazioli. Many investors fear the end of the cycle, while others see Ethereum or Solana as an alternative: “That happens in every cycle—in the end, Bitcoin outperformes altcoins.”
PlanC also speaks on the podcast: “If we fall significantly below $100,000, that would be a problem. But at the moment, nothing is structurally broken.” Instead, corrections are actually healthy: “The downside potential is limited, and the upside opportunities are all the greater.”
On-chain data provides additional signals. Leverage in the futures market has been reduced: “Shorts are increasing – this suggests that the downtrend is limited,” says Sina, one of the inventors of the Bitcoin Power Law. At the same time, long-term investors are realizing profits while new buyers are taking losses. Nevertheless, the market remains stable: “The longer Bitcoin stays above $100,000, the more legitimacy this price range gains.”

Quantile Model Update

Current Price: $115K
Risk Score (Current Quantile): 61%

Lots of room in this cycle. pic.twitter.com/ss4pTXYT6c

— Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital (@Sina_21st) August 23, 2025

The outlook remains bullish. According to Plan C, the bull market is far from over: “We could see $140,000 to $160,000 this year – and perhaps $200,000 next year.” A breakout into the red price bands of the Quantile Model is considered likely. The key remains: “The best strategy is to stay invested – whoever holds on wins in the end.”

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