Bitcoin's “Banana Zone” Points to a Peak in Early October to November 2025
- Bitcoin has shown three major uptrends since the halving, with fewer pullbacks now.
- The first uptrend lasted seven weeks, the second one reached only 20-25% of the first.
- The current cycle may peak between mid-October and mid-November 2025.
Bitcoin is entering what Rekt Capital analysts call the “banana zone”—the parabolic phase of its market cycle. During this phase, prices typically rise sharply, but with fewer pullbacks than in the early stages of the cycle.
How are Bitcoin cycles structured?
Each Bitcoin cycle consists of several important phases. Following the halving, the market typically experiences three main uptrends, followed by corrective pullbacks. In the current cycle:
- The pullbacks are becoming more gradual: early corrections were 33%, then 31%, and the latest pullback was only 13%.
- The uptrends are smaller in scope but persistent: the first uptrend lasted about seven weeks. The second uptrend reached approximately 20–25% of the first, demonstrating diminishing returns.
- After breakouts, price congestion occurs: Unlike previous cycles, when Bitcoin rose quickly after a breakout, this cycle sees periods of sideways consolidation before the rally.
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When might Bitcoin peak?
These patterns indicate that Bitcoin's next uptrend could lead to new all-time highs, but the movement may not be as parabolic as in past cycles. Let's look at the historical data:
- In 2017, Bitcoin peaked 518 days after the halving.
- In 2021, the peak occurred 550 days after the halving.
Source: RektCapital
Current observations indicate a slight lengthening of the cycle, possibly by 30–60 days. Therefore, the potential peak occurs between mid-October and mid-November 2025.
How are prices reacting now?
Bitcoin's price reacted positively to the recent rate decision, demonstrating a clear attempt to rally. Initially, the market experienced some volatility, but support levels around $113,500–$114,900 remained.
What does this support zone mean?
This zone has repeatedly prevented further price declines, and the current price action shows that the bullish structure remains intact.
What are the immediate goals?
In the short term, Bitcoin is testing higher levels while remaining within the defined ascending channel. If the price can break above $118,500 and form a higher low, this could signal further growth toward the next target zone.
The next growth levels to watch are in the range of $117,600 to $118,500.
Related: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction for September 19
Source: cryptonews.net
